Week 2 Player Recommendations (Wed 9/11/13)

September 11th, 2013

New York Jets at New England (Thursday night) – Sherpa says:  New England 28, New York 17.

  • New York
    • Start: WR Stephen Hill (Probable-knee)
    • Neutral: QB Geno Smith (Probable-ankle), RB Chris Ivory (Probable-thumb), WR Santonio Holmes (Questionable-foot), TE Kellen Winslow (Questionable-knee), DEF
    • Sit: QB Mark Sanchez (Out-shoulder), RBs Bilal Powell (Probable-shoulder) & Alex Green, WR Clyde Gates (Probable-knee) & Jeremy Kerley (Out-concussion), TE Jeff Cumberland (Questionable-chin), K Nick Folk
  • New England
    • Start: QB Tom Brady, RB Stevan Ridley (Probable-shoulder), WR Julian Edelman, DEF
    • Neutral: WRs Danny Amendola (Questionable-groin) & Kenbrell Thompkins, K Stephen Gostkowski
    • Sit: RBs Shane Vereen, LeGarrette Blount, & Brandon Bolden; WR Aaron Dobson (Questionable-hamstring), TEs Rob Gronkowski (Questionable-forearm/back) & Zach Sudfeld (Questionable-hamstring)

 

St. Louis at Atlanta (Sunday early) – Sherpa says:  Atlanta 34, St. Louis 21.

  • St. Louis
    • Start: RB Daryl Richardon (Probable-foot), WR Chris Givens, TE Jared Cook
    • Neutral: QB Sam Bradford, WR Tavon Austin
    • Sit: RBs Isaiah Pead & Zac Stacy, WRs Austin Pettis & Brian Quick, K Greg Zuerlein, DEF
  • Atlanta
    • Start: QB Matt Ryan, RB Steven Jackson, TE Tony Gonzalez, K Matt Bryant, DEF
    • Neutral: WRs Julio Jones (Questionable-knee), Roddy White (Questionable-ankle), & Harry Douglas
    • Sit: RB Jacquizz Rodgers

 

San Diego at Philadelphia – Sherpa says:  Philadelphia 34, San Diego 14.

  • San Diego
    • Start: TE Antonio Gates
    • Neutral: RB Ryan Mathews, WRs Malcom Floyd, Vincent Brown, & Eddie Royal
    • Sit: QB Philip Rivers, RBs Ronnie Brown & Danny Woodhead, K Nick Novak, DEF
  • Philadelphia
    • Start: QB Michael Vick, RB LeSean McCoy, WR DeSean Jackson, TE Brent Celek, K Alex Henery, DEF
    • Neutral: RB Bryce Brown, WRs Riley Cooper & Jason Avant
    • Sit: TE Zach Ertz

 

Dallas at Kansas City – Sherpa says:  Dallas 35, Kansas City 20.

  • Dallas
    • Start: QB Tony Romo (Probable-ribs), RB DeMarco Murray, WRs Dez Bryant (Probable-foot) & Miles Austin, TE Jason Witten, K Dan Bailey, DEF
    • Neutral: N/A
    • Sit: WRs Terrence Williams & Dwayne Harris
  • Kansas City
    • Start: RB Jamaal Charles (Probable-quad), WR Dwayne Bowe
    • Neutral: QB Alex Smith, WR Donnie Avery, TE Anthony Fasano
    • Sit: RBs Anthony Sherman & Knile Davis, WRs Dexter McCluster & A.J. Jenkins, TE Travis Kelce (Questionable-knee)

 

Miami at Indianapolis – Sherpa says:  Indianapolis 28, Miami 27.

  • Miami
    • Start: QB Ryan Tannehill, WRs Brian Hartline & Mike Wallace, TE Charles Clay
    • Neutral: WR Brandon Gibson (Probable-wrist), K Caleb Sturgis, DEF
    • Sit: RBs Lamar Miller & Daniel Thomas
  • Indianapolis
    • Start: QB Andrew Luck, WRs Reggie Wayne, T.Y. Hilton, & Darius Heyward-Bey
    • Neutral: RB Ahmad Bradshaw, TEs Dwayne Allen (Questionable-hip) & Coby Fleener, K Adam Vinatieri, DEF
    • Sit: RBs Vick Ballard (Out-knee) & Donald Brown

 

Tennessee at Houston – Sherpa says:  Tennessee 21, Houston 17.

  • Tennessee
    • Start: RB Chris Johnson, WR Kenny Britt, DEF
    • Neutral: WRs Kendall Wright & Nate Washington, TE Delanie Walker
    • Sit: QB Jake Locker, RB Shonn Greene, WR Damian Williams (Questionable-hamstring), K Rob Bironas
  • Houston
    • Start: WR Andre Johnson, TE Owen Daniels (Probable-back), DEF
    • Neutral: QB Matt Schaub, RBs Arian Foster (Probable-calf) & Ben Tate (Probable-shoulder), WR DeAndre Hopkins
    • Sit: TE Garrett Graham (Probable-hip), K Randy Bullock

 

Washington at Green Bay – Sherpa says:  Green Bay 28, Washington 24.

  • Washington
    • Start: QB Robert Griffin III, RB Alfred Morris, TE Fred Davis
    • Neutral: WRs Pierre Garcon, Josh Morgan, Santana Moss & Leonard Hankerson, K Kai Forbath (Questionable-groin), DEF
    • Sit: RB Roy Helu
  • Green Bay
    • Start: QB Aaron Rodgers, RB Eddie Lacy, WRs Jordy Nelson, James Jones, & Randall Cobb, TE Jermichael Finley (Probable-toe)
    • Neutral: K Mason Crosby, DEF
    • Sit: RB John Kuhn

 

Cleveland at Baltimore – Sherpa says:  Baltimore 28, Cleveland 14.

  • Cleveland
    • Start: RB Trent Richardson, TE Jordan Cameron
    • Neutral: WRs Greg Little, Davone Bess, & Travis Benjamin (Questionable-thigh); DEF
    • Sit: QB Brandon Weeden, WR Josh Cooper, K Billy Cundiff
  • Baltimore
    • Start: QB Joe Flacco, RB Ray Rice, WR Torrey Smith, TE Dallas Clark, DEF
    • Neutral: RB Bernard Pierce (Questionable-thigh), WRs Marlon Brown & Brandon Stokley, TE Ed Dickson, K Justin Tucker
    • Sit: WR Jacoby Jones (Out-knee)

 

Carolina at Buffalo – Sherpa says:  Carolina 27, Buffalo 24.

  • Carolina
    • Start: QB Cam Newton, WR Steve Smith, TE Greg Olsen
    • Neutral: RB DeAngelo Williams, WR Brandon LaFell, K Graham Gano, DEF
    • Sit: RBs Kenjon Barner (Out-foot) & Mike Tolbert, WR Domenik Hixon (Probable-hamstring)
  • Buffalo
    • Start: RB C.J. Spiller, WR Stevie Johnson, TE Scott Chandler
    • Neutral: QB E.J. Manuel, RB Fred Jackson, WR T.J. Graham, K Dan Carpenter, DEF
    • Sit: WRs Robert Woods & Marquise Goodwin (Out-hand)

 

Minnesota at Chicago – Sherpa says:  Chicago 24, Minnesota 13.

  • Minnesota
    • Start: RB Adrian Peterson, WR Jerome Simpson & Greg Jennings, TE Kyle Rudolph
    • Neutral: WRs Jarius Wright & Cordarelle Patterson, DEF
    • Sit: QB Christian Ponder, K Blair Walsh
  • Chicago
    • Start: QB Jay Cutler, RB Matt Forte, WR Brandon Marshall, TE Martellus Bennett, DEF
    • Neutral: WR Alshon Jeffery, K Robbie Gould
    • Sit: RB Michael Bush, WRs Earl Bennett & Marquess Wilson

 

New Orleans at Tampa Bay (Sunday late) – Sherpa says:  New Orleans 38, Tampa Bay 20.

  • New Orleans
    • Start: QB Drew Brees, RB Darren Sproles, WR Marques Colston (Probable-foot), TE Jimmy Graham, K Garrett Hartley, DEF
    • Neutral: RB Mark Ingram & Pierre Thomas, WRs Lance Moore & Kenny Stills
    • Sit: TE Ben Watson
  • Tampa Bay
    • Start: RB Doug Martin, WRs Vincent Jackson & Mike Williams
    • Neutral: QB Josh Freeman,
    • Sit: WR Kevin Ogletree, TE Luke Stocker, K Rian Lindell, DEF

 

Detroit at Arizona – Sherpa says:  Arizona 30, Detroit 24.

  • Detroit
    • Start: QB Matthew Stafford, RB Reggie Bush (Probable-groin), WR Calvin Johnson
    • Neutral: RB Joique Bell, WRs Nate Burleson & Patrick Edwards, TEs Brandon Pettigrew & Tony Scheffler, K David Akers
    • Sit: RB Mikel Leshoure, WR Ryan Broyles, DEF
  • Arizona
    • Start: QB Carson Palmer, WR Michael Floyd, K Jay Feely
    • Neutral: RB Rashard Mendenhall (Probable-hamstring), WRs Larry Fitzgerald (Questionable-hamstring) & Andre Roberts (Probable-quad), DEF
    • Sit: RBs Ryan Williams, Alfonso Smith, & Stepfan Taylor; TEs Rob Housler (Out-ankle), Kory Sperry, & Jim Dray

 

Jacksonville at Oakland – Sherpa says:  Oakland 24, Jacksonville 10.

  • Jacksonville
    • Start: N/A
    • Neutral: RB Maurice Jones Drew, WRs Ace Bailey & Cecil Shorts (Probable-groin), DEF
    • Sit: QBs Chad Henne & Blaine Gabbert (Out-hand), RBs Justin Forsett, Denard Robinson, & Jordan Todman (Probable-shoulder); WRs Justin Blackmon (Out-suspension) & Mike Brown (Questionable-back), TEs Marcedes Lewis (Doubtful-calf), Allen Reisner, & Clay Harbor; K Josh Scobee,
  • Oakland
    • Start: QB Terrelle Pryor, RB Darren McFadden, WR Denarius Moore, DEF
    • Neutral: WR Rod Streater, K Sebastian Janikowski (Probable-calf)
    • Sit: RBs Rashad Jennings & Marcel Reese, WRs Brice Butler, Jacoby Ford, & Juron Criner; TEs David Ausberry (Out-shoulder), Mychal Rivera, & Jeron Mastrud

 

Denver at New York Giants – Sherpa says:  Denver 37, New York 24.

  • Denver
    • Start: QB Peyton Manning, WRs Demaryius Thomas, Eric Decker (Probable-shoulder), & Wes Welker (Probable-ankle); TE Julian Thomas, K Matt Prater
    • Neutral: DEF
    • Sit: RBs Montee Ball, Knowshon Moreno, & Ronnie Hillman, TE Joel Dreessen, Jacob Tamme, & Virgil Green
  • New York
    • Start: QB Eli Manning, RB David Wilson, WRs Hakeem Nicks & Victor Cruz, TE Brandon Myers
    • Neutral: RB Da’Rel Scott (Probable-knee), WR Rueben Randle, K Josh Brown
    • Sit: RB Brandon Jacobs, DEF

 

San Francisco at Seattle (Sunday night) – Sherpa says:  San Francisco 24, Seattle 21.

  • San Francisco
    • Start: QB Colin Kaepernick, RB Frank Gore, WR Anquan Boldin, TE Vernon Davis, DEF
    • Neutral: RB Kendall Hunter, WR Kyle Williams, K Phil Dawson
    • Sit: RB LaMichael James (Questionable-knee)
  • Seattle
    • Start: QB Russell Wilson, WR Golden Tate
    • Neutral: RB Marshawn Lynch, WRs Sidney Rice (Probable-knee) & Doug Baldwin, TE Zach Miller, DEF
    • Sit: RBs Robert Turbin & Christine Michael, K Steven Hauschka

 

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (Monday night) – Sherpa says:  Cincinnati 27, Pittsburgh 20.

  • Pittsburgh
    • Start: QB Ben Roethlisberger, WRs Antonio Brown & Emmanuel Sanders
    • Neutral: RB Jonathan Dwyer, WR Jerricho Cotchery, DEF
    • Sit: RBs Le’Veon Bell (Out-foot), Isaac Redman, Felix Jones, & RB LaRod Stephens-Howling; TEs Heath Miller (Out-knee), David Paulson, & David Johnson, K Shaun Suisham (Probable-hamstring)
  • Cincinnati
    • Start: QB Andy Dalton, WR A.J. Green, DEF
    • Neutral: RB Giovanni Bernard, WR Mohamed Sanu, TEs Jermaine Gresham & Tyler Eifert, K Mike Nugent
    • Sit: RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis, WR Marvin Jones

 

Good luck this weekend, and may all your players do well and stay healthy!

The Sherpa

 

Listen to 4th and Inches with Jana & The Sherpa, Wednesday evenings from 9:30-10:30pm Eastern on Blog Talk Radio!

Week 1 Player Recommendations (Wed 9/4/13)

September 4th, 2013

Baltimore at Denver (Thursday early) – Sherpa says:  Denver 28, Baltimore 24.

  • Baltimore
    • Start: QB Joe Flacco, RB Ray Rice, WR Torrey Smith
    • Neutral: RB Bernard Pierce, TEs Ed Dickson (Probable-thigh) & Dallas Clark, K Justin Tucker, DEF
    • Sit: WRs Jacoby Jones & Brandon Stokley, TE Dennis Pitta
  • Denver
    • Start: QB Peyton Manning, WR Demaryius Thomas
    • Neutral: WRs Wes Welker (Probable-ankle) & Eric Decker, K Matt Prater, DEF
    • Sit: RBs Ronnie Hillman, Montee Ball, & Knowshon Moreno, TEs Julius Thomas, Virgil Green, Jacob Tamme, Joel Dreessen (Out-knee)

 

New England at Buffalo (Sunday early) – Sherpa says:  New England 35, Buffalo 17.

  • New England
    • Start: QB Tom Brady, RB Stevan Ridley, K Stephen Gostkowski, DEF
    • Neutral: RB Shane Vereen, WRs Danny Amendola (Probable-groin) & Julian Edelman, TE Zach Sudfeld
    • Sit: WR Kenbrell Thompkins & Aaron Dobson (Questionable-hamstring), TEs Rob Gronkowski (Doubtful-back) & Michael Hoomanawanui
  • Buffalo
    • Start: RB C.J. Spiller, WR Stevie Johnson
    • Neutral: WR T.J. Graham, TE Scott Chandler
    • Sit: QB E.J. Manuel, RB Fred Johnson, WRs Robert Woods & Marquise Goodwin, K Dan Carpenter, DEF

 

Tennessee at Pittsburgh – Sherpa says:  Tennessee 28, Pittsburgh 21.

  • Tennessee
    • Start: RB Chris Johnson, WR Kenny Britt, DEF
    • Neutral: QB Jake Locker, WR Kendall Wright, TE Delanie Walker, K Rob Bironas
    • Sit: RB Shonn Greene, WR Nate Washington
  • Pittsburgh
    • Start: QB Ben Roethlisberger, WR Antonio Brown
    • Neutral: RB Isaac Redman, WR Emmanuel Sanders, DEF
    • Sit: RBs Felix Jones, LaRod Stephens-Howling, & Le’Veon Bell (Out-foot), TEs David Paulson & Heath Miller (Questionable-knee), K Shaun Suisham

 

Tampa Bay at New York Jets – Sherpa says:  Tampa Bay 24, New York 17.

  • Tampa Bay
    • Start: RB Doug Martin, WRs Vincent Jackson & Mike Williams, DEF
    • Neutral: QB Josh Freeman, K Rian Lindell
    • Sit: WR Kevin Ogletree, TE Luke Stocker
  • New York
    • Start: RB Chris Ivory
    • Neutral: WR Stephen Hill (Probable-knee), DEF
    • Sit: QBs Geno Smith & Mark Sanchez (Out-shoulder); RBs Bilal Powell & Mike Goodson (Out-suspension), WRs Santonio Holmes (Questionable-foot) & Jeremy Kerley (Probable-finger), TEs Jeff Cumberland & Kellen Winslow, K Nick Folk

 

Atlanta at New Orleans – Sherpa says:  Atlanta 35, New Orleans 31.

  • Atlanta
    • Start: QB Matt Ryan, RB Steven Jackson, WR Julio Jones, TE Tony Gonzalez, K Matt Bryant (Probable-back)
    • Neutral: RB Jacquizz Rodgers, WR Roddy White (Questionable-ankle)
    • Sit: WR Harry Douglas, DEF
  • New Orleans
    • Start: QB Drew Brees, RB Darren Sproles, WRs Marques Colston (Probable-foot) & Lance Moore, TE Jimmy Graham, K Garrett Hartley
    • Neutral: RBs Mark Ingram & Pierre Thomas
    • Sit: WRs Kenny Stills & Nick Toon (Probable-chest), DEF

 

Kansas City at Jacksonville – Sherpa says:  Kansas City 30, Jacksonville 13.

  • Kansas City
    • Start: QB Alex Smith, RB Jamaal Charles, WR Dwayne Bowe, K Ryan Succop, DEF
    • Neutral: WR Donnie Avery, TE Anthony Fasano
    • Sit: RB Knile Davis, WR Dexter McCluster, TE Travis Kelce (Questionable-knee)
  • Jacksonville
    • Start: WR Cecil Shorts
    • Neutral: RB Maurice Jones-Drew, TE Marcedes Lewis (Out-calf)
    • Sit: QB Blaine Gabbert (Questionable-thumb), RBs Justin Forsett (Questionable-toe) & Denard Robinson, WRs Justin Blackmon (Out-suspension) & Ace Sanders, K Josh Scobee, DEF

 

 Seattle at Carolina – Sherpa says:  Seattle 24, Carolina 21.

  • Seattle
    • Start: QB Russell Wilson, RB Marshawn Lynch, WR Golden Tate, DEF
    • Neutral: WR Sidney Rice (Probable-knee), TE Zach Miller, K Steven Hauschka
    • Sit: RBs Robert Turbin & Christine Michael, WRs Percy Harvin (Out-knee), Jermaine Kearse, & Doug Baldwin
  • Carolina
    • Start: QB Cam Newton, WR Steve Smith, TE Greg Olsen
    • Neutral: RB DeAngelo Williams WR Brandon LaFell, DEF
    • Sit: RBs Jonathan Stewart, Kenjon Barner (Out-ankle), & Mike Tolbert (Probable-hamstring); WR Domenik Hixon (Questionable-hamstring), K Graham Gano

 

Cincinnati at Chicago – Sherpa says:  Chicago 24, Cincinnati 20.

  • Cincinnati
    • Start: QB Andy Dalton, WR A.J. Green
    • Neutral: RB Giovanni Bernard, WR Mohamed Sanu, TE Jermaine Gresham, DEF
    • Sit: RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis, TE Tyler Eifert (Probable-wrist), K Mike Nugent
  • Chicago
    • Start: QB Jay Cutler, RB Matt Forte, WR Brandon Marshall, TE Martellus Bennett, DEF
    • Neutral: WR Alshon Jeffery, K Robbie Gould
    • Sit: RB Michael Bush, WRs Earl Bennett & Marquess Wilson

 

Miami at Cleveland – Sherpa says:  Cleveland 28, Miami 24.

  • Miami
    • Start: WRs Brian Hartline & Mike Wallace
    • Neutral: QB Ryan Tannehill, RB Lamar Miller, TE Charles Clay, K Caleb Sturgis, DEF
    • Sit: RB Daniel Thomas & Mike Gillislee
  • Cleveland
    • Start: RB Trent Richardson, TE Jordan Cameron (Probable-groin)
    • Neutral: QB Brandon Weeden, WR Davone Bess (Probable-knee), K Billy Cundiff, DEF
    • Sit: RB Chris Ogbannaya, WRs Josh Gordon (Out-suspension), Greg Little, Travis Benjamin, & Josh Cooper

 

Minnesota at Detroit – Sherpa says:  Minnesota 31, Detroit 30.

  • Minnesota
    • Start: QB Christian Ponder, RB Adrian Peterson, TE Kyle Rudolph, K Blair Walsh
    • Neutral: WR Greg Jennings, Jarius Wright, Jerome Simpson, & Cordarelle Patterson (Probable-back)
    • Sit: RB Toby Gerhart, TE John Carlson, DEF
  • Detroit
    • Start: QB Matthew Stafford, RB Reggie Bush, WR Calvin Johnson, K David Akers
    • Neutral: TEs Brandon Pettigrew & Tony Scheffler
    • Sit: RBs Mikel Leshoure & Joique Bell, WRs Nate Burleson, Patrick Edwards, & Ryan Broyles, DEF

 

Oakland at Indianapolis – Sherpa says:  Indianapolis 31, Oakland 17.

  • Oakland
    • Start: RB Darren McFadden (Probable-shoulder), WR Denarius Moore
    • Neutral: QB Terrelle Pryor
    • Sit: RBs Rashad Jennings, Marcel Reece, & Latavius Murray (Out-ankle), WRs Rod Streater & Juron Criner, TE David Ausberry (Out-shoulder), K Sebastian Janikowski (Probable-calf), DEF
  • Indianapolis
    • Start: QB Andrew Luck, WRs Reggie Wayne & T.Y. Hilton, K Adam Vinatieri, DEF
    • Neutral: RBs Ahmad Bradshaw (Probable-foot) & Vick Ballard, WR Darrius Heyward-Bey, TEs Coby Fleener (Probable-knee) & Dwayne Allen (Probable-foot)
    • Sit: RB Donald Brown

 

Arizona at St. Louis (Sunday late) – Sherpa says:  St. Louis 28, Arizona 17.

  • Arizona
    • Start: WR Larry Fitzgerald
    • Neutral: QB Carson Palmer, WR Michael Floyd, DEF
    • Sit: RBs Rashard Mendenhall (Probable-knee), Ryan Williams, & Stepfan Taylor, WR Andre Roberts (Probable-quad), TE Rob Housler (Out-ankle), K Jay Feely
  • St. Louis
    • Start: QB Sam Bradford, RB Daryl Richardson, WR Chris Givens, TE Jared Cook, DEF
    • Neutral: WR Tavon Austin, K Greg Zuerlein
    • Sit: RBs Isaiah Pead (Out-suspension), Zac Stacy, WRs Austin Pettis, Brian Quick, & Stedman Bailey

 

Green Bay at San Francisco – Sherpa says:  San Francisco 31, Green Bay 28.

  • Green Bay
    • Start: QB Aaron Rodgers, TE Jermichael Finley
    • Neutral: RB Eddie Lacy, WRs Jordy Nelson, James Jones, & Randall Cobb, K Mason Crosby
    • Sit: RBs Johnathan Franklin, James Starks, DuJuan Harris (Out-knee), & John Kuhn, DEF
  • San Francisco
    • Start: QB Colin Kaepernick, RB Frank Gore, WR Anquan Boldin, K Phil Dawson
    • Neutral: RB Kendall Hunter, DEF
    • Sit: RBs LaMichael James (Questionable-knee) & Marcus Lattimore (Out-knee), WRs Kyle Williams, Marlon Moore, Quinton Patton, & Jonathan Baldwin

 

New York Giants at Dallas (Sunday night) – Sherpa says:  Dallas 28, New York 21.

  • New York
    • Start: QB Eli Manning, RB David Wilson, TE Brandon Myers
    • Neutral: WRs Hakeem Nicks & Victor Cruz (Probable-heel), DEF
    • Sit: RB Andre Brown (Out-knee), WRs Rueben Randle & Louis Murphy, K Josh Brown
  • Dallas
    • Start: QB Tony Romo, RB Demarco Murray, WR Dez Bryant, TE Jason Witten, DEF
    • Neutral: WR Miles Austin, K Dan Bailey
    • Sit: RBs Joseph Randle, Lance Dunbar (Out-foot), & Phillip Tanner; WR Terrence Williams

 

Philadelphia at Washington (Monday night) – Sherpa says:  Washington 34, Philadelphia 20.

  • Philadelphia
    • Start: QB Michael Vick, RB LeSean McCoy, WR DeSean Jackson, TE Brent Celek
    • Neutral: RB Bryce Brown, WR Jason Avant
    • Sit: WR Riley Cooper, TE Zach Ertz, K Alex Henery, DEF
  • Washington
    • Start: QB Robert Griffin III, RB Alfred Morris, WR Pierre Garcon, TE Fred Davis, K Kai Forbath, DEF
    • Neutral:
    • Sit: RB Roy Helu, WRs Josh Morgan, Santana Moss, & Leonard Hankerson

 

Houston at San Diego – Sherpa says:  Houston 30, San Diego 17.

  • Houston
    • Start: QB Matt Schaub, WRs Andre Johnson & DeAndre Hopkins (Probable-concussion), TE Owen Daniels, K Randy Bullock, DEF
    • Neutral: RBs Arian Foster (Probable-calf) & Ben Tate
    • Sit: RB Cierre Wood
  • San Diego
    • Start: TE Antonio Gates
    • Neutral: RBs Ryan Mathews & Danny Woodhead, WRs Malcom Floyd (Probable-knee) & Vincent Brown
    • Sit: QB Philip Rivers, RB Ronnie Brown, WR Eddie Royal (Probable-chest), K Nick Novak, DEF

 

Good luck this weekend, and may all your players stay healthy!

The Sherpa

4th & Inches Show - Week 1 Game Previews Tonight at 9:30pm Eastern (Wed 9/4/13)

September 4th, 2013

Hi everyone,

Please tune in to The 4th and Inches Show with Jana & The Sherpa tonight at 9:30pm Eastern as we preview the Week 1 games!

The show is also archived and available for download afterwards, so please join us!

-The Sherpa

 

Season 4 of the 4th & Inches Show begins tonight! (Wed 8/28/13)

August 28th, 2013

Hi everyone,

Season 4 of The 4th and Inches Show with Jana & The Sherpa begins tonight at 9:30pm Eastern!

Tonight we’ll preview the 2013 fantasy football season with a focus on top rookies, sleepers, and potential busts by position.

Hope you’re able to tune in and join us!

-The Sherpa  

Sherpa Alert - Guy’s Guy Radio Show - Wed 8/28/13, 7-8pm Eastern (Tue 8/27/13)

August 27th, 2013

Hi everyone,

Just wanted to let you know that I’ll be a guest on Robert Manni’s Guys’ Guy’s Radio show tomorrow night (Wed 8/28) from 7-8:00pm Eastern on Blog Talk Radio. We’ll be talking about fantasy football and the upcoming NFL season.

Please tune in and call in (347-945-5834)!

The Sherpa

Video: Fantasy Football Sherpa’s Explanation of Super Bowl Squares (Fri 2/1/13)

February 2nd, 2013

It’s Hip to Play Squares (Wed 1/30/13)

January 31st, 2013

Sunday evening over 100 million Americans will gather in living rooms and bars across the country to watch Super Bowl XLVII.  Some will root for Colin Kaepernick, Patrick Willis, Jim Harbaugh, and the San Francisco 49ers.  Some will root for Ray Lewis, Joe Flacco, John Harbaugh, and the Baltimore Ravens.  Many will be more interested in the Super Bowl commercials or Beyonce’s halftime show.

 

Regardless of which team you’re cheering for, much of the most fervent rooting will have little to do with which team is actually winning the game at the Superdome in New Orleans.  For many viewers participating in a Super Bowl squares contest organized by friends, co-workers, or the local watering hole provides more entertainment than the game itself.

 

There are many variations on Super Bowl squares contests, but they all start with a 10-by-10 grid featuring the numbers zero through nine along both the horizontal and vertical axes.  One axis is chosen to represent each of the teams playing, and in the simplest form of the squares game, participants pay a flat fee that buys them one randomly-assigned square on the grid.  At the end of each quarter and the end of the game the winning square is determined by the last digit in each team’s score at that point in the game. 

 

For example, suppose the contest organizer designates the horizontal axis to represent the Ravens’ score and the vertical axis to represent the 49ers’ score.  Then, if the 49ers are leading 10-7 at the end of the first quarter, the person assigned to the (7,0) square would win a predetermined dollar amount or percentage of the total money raised by the selling of squares.

 

Even though the squares may be assigned randomly to participants, the history of the first 46 Super Bowls has shown that not all squares on the grid are created equal.  Here’s a mapping of the 184 quarter-ending scores; I’ve randomly assigned the horizontal axis to the visiting team and the vertical axis to the home team in each of the previous games:

 

Home/Vis

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

0

13

2

3

11

4

3

4

10

0

5

1

2

0

0

1

3

2

1

3

0

1

2

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

1

3

6

0

0

6

4

0

5

8

0

0

4

7

1

1

2

1

0

2

7

0

1

5

1

2

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

6

2

0

0

2

0

0

2

2

0

0

7

10

3

2

5

3

1

4

7

0

3

8

3

1

0

0

0

0

3

0

0

1

9

2

0

0

0

1

0

1

0

0

0

 

Before converting this to a table of probabilities by square, it’s helpful to realize that assigning teams to the horizontal or vertical axis is an arbitrary exercise, so there’s no reason to believe that the probability of winning with square (0,3) should be any different than the probability of winning with square (3,0), even if that hasn’t been the case with the empirical data.  So, instead of using the 11 empirical “hits” with square (3,0) and the 6 empirical hits with square (0,3), it makes more sense to calculate square probabilities as though both squares had hit 8.5 times.

 

Once that adjustment is made, here’s what the table of square probabilities based on historical results looks like:

 

Home/Vis

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

0

7.1%

1.1%

0.8%

4.6%

2.9%

1.1%

1.6%

5.3%

0.8%

1.9%

1

1.1%

 

 

0.3%

1.1%

1.1%

0.3%

1.6%

0.3%

0.3%

2

0.8%

 

 

 

0.3%

 

 

0.8%

0.3%

0.3%

3

4.5%

0.3%

 

3.3%

1.6%

 

1.9%

3.5%

 

 

4

3.0%

1.1%

0.3%

1.6%

0.5%

 

0.5%

2.7%

 

0.5%

5

1.1%

1.1%

 

 

 

 

 

 0.3%

 

0.3%

6

1.6%

0.3%

 

1.9%

0.5%

 

1.1%

1.6%

0.8%

0.3%

7

5.4%

1.6%

0.8%

3.5%

2.7%

0.3%

1.6%

3.8%

 

0.8%

8

0.8%

0.3%

0.3%

 

 

 

0.8%

 

 

0.3%

9

1.9%

0.3%

0.3%

 

0.5%

0.3%

0.3%

0.8%

0.3%

 

  

Note:  Blank squares have no “hits” during the first 46 Super Bowls.

 

 

Several observations:

 

  • The top 13 square probabilities account for over 50% of the winning squares (52.6%).

 

  • Almost half of the squares (45) have never been winners.  But take heart - when the score at the end of the third quarter of last year’s Super Bowl was  New England 17, New York 15, that marked the first time that the (7,5) combination had come up in Super Bowl history!
  • In reality the blank squares in the table above have a non-zero probability of being winners.  A larger sample-size would be needed to estimate these probabilities, but keep in mind that the NFL didn’t adopt the two-point conversion until 1994.

 

Enjoy the game!

The Sherpa

Sherpa Alert - Guys’ Guy’s Radio on BTR - Wed Jan 23rd 7-7:30pm (Wed 1/23/13)

January 23rd, 2013

Hi everyone,

Just wanted to let you know that I’ll be a guest on Robert Manni’s Guys’ Guy’s Radio show tonight from 7-7:30pm Eastern on Blog Talk Radio. We’ll be talking about the upcoming Super Bowl and social media.

Please tune in and call in (347-945-5834)!

The Sherpa

Sherpa Alert - Guys’ Guy’s Radio on BTR - Wed Jan 16th 7-7:30pm (Sat 1/12/13)

January 12th, 2013

Hi everyone,

Just wanted to let you know that I’ll be a guest on Robert Manni’s Guys’ Guy’s Radio show next Wed. (Jan 16th) from 7-7:30pm Eastern on Blog Talk Radio. We’ll be talking about fantasy sports and Super Bowl predictions, among other things.

Please tune in and call in!

The Sherpa

Week 17 Player Recommendations (Sat 12/29/12)

December 29th, 2012

Tampa Bay at Atlanta (Sunday early) – Sherpa says:  Tampa Bay 35, Atlanta 20.

  • Tampa Bay
    • Start: QB Josh Freeman, RB Doug Martin, WRs Vincent Jackson & Mike Williams, TE Dallas Clark, K Connor Barth, DEF
    • Neutral: WR Tiquan Underwood
    • Sit: RB LeGarrette Blount
  • Atlanta
    • Start: N/A
    • Neutral: QB Matt Ryan, WRs Julio Jones & Roddy White (Questionable-knee), TE Tony Gonzalez
    • Sit: RBs Michael Turner & Jacquizz Rodgers, WR Harry Douglas, K Matt Bryant, DEF

 

New York Jets at Buffalo – Sherpa says:  Buffalo 27, New York 20.

  • New York
    • Start: RB Shonn Greene
    • Neutral: RB Bilal Powell (Probable-shoulder), WRs Jeremy Kerley & Braylon Edwards (Questionable-hamstring), TE Jeff Cumberland (Probable-wrist), DEF
    • Sit: QBs Mark Sanchez (Probable-back), Tim Tebow (Probable-ribs), & Greg McEvoy (Doubtful-concussion), RB Joe McKnight (Probable-ankle), WRs Chaz Schilens (Doubtful-knee) & Clyde Gates, TE Dustin Keller (Doubtful-ankle), K Nick Folk (Probable-back)
  • Buffalo
    • Start: RB C.J. Spiller (Probable-shoulder), WR Steve Johnson, DEF
    • Neutral: QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, WR T.J. Graham, K Rian Lindell
    • Sit: TEs Scott Chandler (Out-knee) & Dorin Dickerson (Probable-ankle)

 

Jacksonville at Tennessee – Sherpa says:  Tennessee 28, Jacksonville 17.

  • Jacksonville
    • Start: WRs Justin Blackmon & Jordan Shipley, TE Marcedes Lewis
    • Neutral: QB Chad Henne, RB Richard Murphy, DEF
    • Sit: RBs Maurice Jones-Drew (IR-foot), Montell Owens (Out-knee), & Rashad Jennings (IR-shoulder), WRs Cecil Shorts (IR-concussion) & Toney Clemons, K Josh Scobee
  • Tennessee
    • Start: WR Kenny Britt (Probable-knee), DEF
    • Neutral: QB Jake Locker (Probable-shoulder), RB Chris Johnson (Questionable-ankle), WRs Kendall Wright (Questionable-ribs) & Nate Washington, K Rob Bironas
    • Sit: TE Craig Stevens (Out-concussion)

 

Cleveland at Pittsburgh – Sherpa says:  Pittsburgh 24, Cleveland 17.

  • Cleveland
    • Start: TE Ben Watson
    • Neutral: RB Montario Hardesty, WRs Josh Gordon & Greg Little, DEF
    • Sit: QBs Thaddeus Young, Brandon Weeden (Out-shoulder), & Colt McCoy (Out-shoulder); RB Trent Richardson (Out-ankle), WRs Travis Benjamin, Josh Cooper, Mohamed Massaquoi, & Josh Cribbs (Probable-knee); K Phil Dawson
  • Pittsburgh
    • Start: QB Ben Roethlisberger, RB Rashard Mendenhall, WRs Antonio Brown & Emmanuel Sanders, DEF
    • Neutral: WR Mike Wallace (IR-hip), K Shaun Suisham
    • Sit: RBs Isaac Redman & Jonathan Dwyer, TE Heath Miller (IR-knee)

 

Baltimore at Cincinnati – Sherpa says:  Cincinnati 31, Baltimore 24.

  • Baltimore
    • Start: RB Ray Rice, TE Dennis Pitta (Probable-knee)
    • Neutral: QB Joe Flacco, WR Torrey Smith, K Justin Tucker
    • Sit: RB Bernard Pierce, WRs Anquan Boldin (Out-shoulder) & Jacoby Jones (Probable-ankle), TE Ed Dickson, DEF
  • Cincinnati
    • Start: QB Andy Dalton, RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis, WR A.J. Green, K Josh Brown
    • Neutral: WRs Andrew Hawkins & Marvin Jones, TE Jermaine Gresham, DEF
    • Sit: K Mike Nugent (IR-calf)

 

Chicago at Detroit – Sherpa says:  Chicago 24, Detroit 20.

  • Chicago
    • Start: WR Brandon Marshall, DEF
    • Neutral: QB Jay Cutler, RB Khalil Bell, K Olindo Mare
    • Sit: RB Matt Forte (Probable-ankle), WRs Alshon Jeffery, Earl Bennett, & Devin Hester, TE Kellen Davis
  • Detroit
    • Start: WR Calvin Johnson (Probable-knee), TE Tony Scheffler
    • Neutral: QB Matthew Stafford, RB Mikel Leshoure, DEF
    • Sit: RB Joique Bell, WR Kirk Durham, TE Brandon Pettigrew (Doubtful-ankle) & Will Heller, K Jason Hanson

 

 Houston at Indianapolis – Sherpa says:  Houston 24, Indianapolis 24.

  • Houston
    • Start: RB Arian Foster, WR Andre Johnson, TE Owen Daniels (Probable-hamstring), K Shayne Graham
    • Neutral: QB Matt Schaub, WR Kevin Walter, DEF
    • Sit: RBs Ben Tate (Probable-hamstring & Justin Forsett (Probable-knee), WRs DeVier Posey & Lestar Jean, TE Garrett Graham
  • Indianapolis
    • Start: QB Andrew Luck (Probable-knee), WRs Reggie Wayne & T.Y. Hilton
    • Neutral: WR Donnie Avery (Questionable-shoulder), TE Dwayne Allen, K Adam Vinatieri
    • Sit: RB Vick Ballard, TE Coby Fleener, DEF

 

Carolina at New Orleans – Sherpa says:  Carolina 34, New Orleans 27.

  • Carolina
    • Start: QB Cam Newton, WR Steve Smith, TE Greg Olsen, K Graham Gano
    • Neutral: RB DeAngelo Williams, WR Brandon LaFell (Probable-toe), DEF
    • Sit: RBs Jonathan Stewart (Out-ankle) & Mike Tolbert, WR Louis Murphy
  • New Orleans
    • Start: QB Drew Brees, WR Marques Colston, TE Jimmy Graham (Probable-wrist), K Garrett Hartley
    • Neutral: RBs Mark Ingram & Darren Sproles, WR Lance Moore
    • Sit: RBs Chris Ivory (Probable-hamstring) & Pierre Thomas (IR-knee), WR Joseph Morgan, DEF

 

Philadelphia at New York Giants – Sherpa says:  Philadelphia 31, New York 28.

  • Philadelphia
    • Start: RB LeSean McCoy, WRs Jeremy Maclin (Probable-knee), TE Brent Celek, K Alex Henery
    • Neutral: QB Michael Vick, WRs Jason Avant (Probable-calf) & Riley Cooper, DEF
    • Sit: QB Nick Foles (IR-hand), RB Bryce Brown, TE Clay Harbor
  • New York
    • Start: QB Eli Manning, WR Victor Cruz, TE Martellus Bennett
    • Neutral: RBs Ahmad Bradshaw (Probable-knee) & David Wilson, WRs Hakeem Nicks (Questionable-knee), Domenik Hixon, & Rueben Randle; K Lawrence Tynes
    • Sit: DEF

 

Green Bay at Minnesota (Sunday late) – Sherpa says:  Green Bay 27, Minnesota 20.

  • Green Bay
    • Start: QB Aaron Rodgers, WR James Jones, TE Jermichael Finley, DEF
    • Neutral: RB Ryan Grant, WRs Jordy Nelson (Probable-hamstring) & Greg Jennings, K Mason Crosby
    • Sit: RBs James Starks (Out-knee) & Alex Green (Probable-concussion), WRs Donald Driver & Randall Cobb (Questionable-ankle)
  • Minnesota
    • Start: RB Adrian Peterson (Probable-abdomen), TE Kyle Rudolph
    • Neutral: WRs Jarius Wright & Jerome Simpson, DEF
    • Sit: QB Christian Ponder, RB Toby Gerhart, WR Michael Jenkins, K Blair Walsh

 

Miami at New England – Sherpa says:  New England 37, Miami 21.

  • Miami
    • Start: RB Reggie Bush, WR Brian Hartline (Probable-back)
    • Neutral: QB Ryan Tannehill, RB Lamar Miller, TE Anthony Fasano, WR Armon Binns (Probable-back)
    • Sit: RB Daniel Thomas, WR Davone Bess (Out-back), Ks Nate Kaeding & Dan Carpenter (IR-groin), DEF
  • New England
    • Start: QB Tom Brady, RB Stevan Ridley, WRs Wes Welker (Questionable-ankle) & Brandon Lloyd (Questionable-knee), TE Aaron Hernandez (Questionable-ankle), K Stephen Gostkowski, DEF
    • Neutral: RBs Danny Woodhead & Shane Vereen
    • Sit: TE Rob Gronkowski (Questionable-forearm)

 

Oakland at San Diego – Sherpa says:  San Diego 20, Oakland 17.

  • Oakland
    • Start: WR Rod Streater, TE Brandon Myers (Probable-shoulder), DEF
    • Neutral: QB Terrelle Pryor, RB Darren McFadden, WRs Darrius Heyward-Bey & Denarius Moore
    • Sit: QBs Carson Palmer (Out-ribs) & Matt Leinart, RBs Marcel Reece & Mike Goodson, WR Juron Criner (Probable-hip), K Sebastian Janikowski
  • San Diego
    • Start: QB Philp Rivers, WR Danario Alexander, TE Antonio Gates, DEF
    • Neutral: RBs Jackie Battle & Ronnie Brown (Questionable-hamstring), WR Eddie Royal
    • Sit: WR Robert Meachem, K Nick Novak

 

Kansas City at Denver – Sherpa says:  Denver 31, Kansas City 17.

  • Kansas City
    • Start: N/A
    • Neutral: RB Jamaal Charles, WR Jonathan Baldwin
    • Sit: QB Brady Quinn, RB Peyton Hillis, WRs Dexter McCluster & Terrance Copper (Out-knee), TE Tony Moeaki (Questionable-concussion), K Ryan Succop, DEF
  • Denver
    • Start: QB Peyton Manning, RB Knowshon Moreno (Probable-ribs), WRs Demaryius Thomas & Eric Decker, K Matt Prater, DEF
    • Neutral: TEs Jacob Tamme & Joel Dreessen
    • Sit: N/A

 

Arizona at San Francisco – Sherpa says:  San Francisco 28, Arizona 3.

  • Arizona
    • Start: N/A
    • Neutral: WR Larry Fitzgerald, DEF
    • Sit: QBs Brian Hoyer & Ryan Lindley, RBs Beanie Wells & LaRod Stephens-Howling, WRs Michael Floyd, Early Doucet (Out-concussion), & Andre Roberts; TEs Rob Housler (IR-shoulder) & Jeff King, K Jay Feely
  • San Francisco
    • Start: RB Frank Gore (Probable-knee), WR Michael Crabtree, DEF
    • Neutral: QB Colin Kaepernick, RB LaMichael James, TEs Vernon Davis (Questionable-concussion) & Delanie Walker, K David Akers
    • Sit: WRs Randy Moss & Mario Manningham (IR-knee)

 

St. Louis at Seattle – Sherpa says:  Seattle 27, St. Louis 20.

  • St. Louis
    • Start: TE Lance Kendricks
    • Neutral: QB Sam Bradford, RB Steven Jackson (Probable-foot), WRs Danny Amendola, Chris Givens, & Brandon Gibson, DEF
    • Sit: RB Darryl Richardson, K Greg Zuerlein, WR Austin Pettis (Probable-shoulder)
  • Seattle
    • Start: QB Russell Wilson, RB Marshawn Lynch (Probable-back), WRs Golden Tate & Doug Baldwin, DEF
    • Neutral: WR Sidney Rice (Probable-knee), K Steven Hauschka
    • Sit: RB Robert Turbin, TE Zach Miller

 

Dallas at Washington (Sunday night) – Sherpa says:  Washington 35, Dallas 24.

  • Dallas
    • Start: QB Tony Romo, WRs Dez Bryant (Probable-finger) & Miles Austin, TE Jason Witten
    • Neutral: RB DeMarco Murray (Probable-foot), K Dan Bailey
    • Sit: RB Felix Jones (Probable-knee), DEF
  • Washington
    • Start: QB Robert Griffin III (Probable-knee), RB Alfred Morris, WRs Santana Moss & Pierre Garcon (Probable-foot), K Kai Forbath
    • Neutral: DEF
    • Sit: RB Evan Royster, WRs Leonard Hankerson & Joshua Morgan (Probable-hand), TE Logan Paulsen

 

Good luck this weekend, and have a great offseason!

The Sherpa